But all these are really just symptoms of their underlying rivalry. It looks first at how America is losing the contest with China, and then at Australia: More broadly, our recent history has left us ill-equipped to understand what is happening.
How the contest will proceed — whether peacefully or violently, quickly or slowly — is still uncertain, but the most likely outcome is now becoming clear. We have not seen this kind of struggle in Asia since the end of the Vietnam War, or globally since the end of the Cold War.
Australia in the New Asia. Their contest is playing out over trade deals and infrastructure plans, in the diplomacy of multilateral meetings, and above all through military gamesmanship in regional hotspots like New quarterly essay contest South China Sea, the East China Sea and the Korean Peninsula.
Alas, my critics and I were both wrong. This is not what anyone expected. We have a lot to learn and not much time to learn it. War remains possible, especially with someone like Donald Trump in the Oval Office.
But since the Cold War ended — a generation ago now — we have forgotten those old fears and begun to take American power and protection for granted. Many expected that China would falter before it grew strong enough to challenge America on anything like equal terms. The contest between America and China is classic power politics of the harshest kind.
America will lose, and China will win.
Not only is America failing to remain the dominant power, it is failing to retain any substantial strategic role at all. We are heading for an Asia we have never known before, one without an English-speaking great and powerful friend to dominate the region, keep us secure and protect our interests.
That is what this essay is about. So we find ourselves in a new Asia, and we do not like it.
The contest is indeed unequal, but not in the way we thought. Now it is China that is facing down America. America will cease to play a major strategic role in Asia, and China will take its place as the dominant power.
Political leaders like Menzies and Fraser, Curtin and Whitlam, and Hawke, Keating and Howard; public servants like Arthur Tange; journalists like Peter Hastings and Dennis Warner; academics like Hedley Bull, Tom Millar and Coral Bell; and the voters who lived through the wars and struggles of the first three-quarters of the twentieth century:Heritage Announces Essay Contest for Young Numismatists.
Here are the winners for the Third quarter's Essay Contest for Young Numismatists. First Place: Justin Bowen, Age 15, All previously submitted essays will also be considered for each new quarterly contest.
There is no limit to the number of essays that can be submitted. The NeW Essay Contest deadline is September 30! NeW works to make sure conservative college women are finding their voices and conservative views are heard on campus. The Contest is open to high school seniors and college students who compete in separate categories.
Entry fee: $40 per essay (includes a 1-year Canadian subscription or renewal to The New Quarterly). We are interested in essays in which the writer’s personal engagement with the subject provides the frame or through-line. A project of The New Quarterly (see other related projects) EElectronic Publication Electronic Publication Awarded 1 x per year.
PPrint Publication Print Publication Awarded 1 x per year. YEssay Essay No specific word count limits known. ZNarrative Nonfiction Narrative Nonfiction No specific word. She is the author of Chasing the Future: Recession, Recovery and the New Politics in Australia and two acclaimed Quarterly Essays, Great Expectations and Political Amnesia.
READ AN EXTRACT Leadership, it turns out, is a two-way thing. Seven years ago, in Quarterly Essay 39, I argued that as power shifted from Washington to Beijing, and as China’s ambitions for leadership in Asia grew, America faced a contest in Asia which it would be unable to win outright.Download